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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-30 07:18:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 300518 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 650 miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. This system is gradually becoming better organized, but the latest satellite wind data shows that the low lacks a well-defined center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form by Saturday while the system moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of disturbed weather continues several hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Additional gradual development is expected during the next several days, and the system could become a tropical depression early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Blake
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