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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-30 13:29:51| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 301129 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Jul 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with an elongated area of low pressure located about 650 miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or Saturday while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little overnight in association with an area of low pressure located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next day or two, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Gradual development of this system is expected during the next several days, and it could become a tropical depression early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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