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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-02 19:26:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021726 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hilda, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Ignacio, located more than 400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms more than 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The shower activity has been increasing and showing some signs of organization over the past several hours, and environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally conducive for a tropical depression to reform during the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico by the end of the week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, just offshore and parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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