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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-03 01:31:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 022331 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hilda, located more than 950 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Ignacio, located more than 400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The associated shower activity continues to show signs of organization, but satellite-derived wind data indicate the low-level circulation is still somewhat elongated. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for continued development early this week, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and further development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter while the system remains offshore and moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch [ more ]
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