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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-04 19:30:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 041730 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 4 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Hilda, located more than 1100 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the remnant low pressure system of Tropical Depression Nine-E, located more than 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, has continued to become better organized during the past several hours. If this development trend continues, tropical cyclone advisories will be initiated on this system later today. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for additonal development over the next few days while the system moves northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, further development is not expected as the system is forecast to move over cooler waters. For additional information on this system see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some gradual development this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, parallel to and offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Roberts [ more ]
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