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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-07 13:40:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The latest satellite derived wind data indicated that the low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become better defined overnight. Showers and thunderstorms associated with the system continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form today or Sunday while it moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by early next week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph, parallel to and offshore of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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