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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-07 01:33:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

366 ABPZ20 KNHC 062333 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Sep 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with an broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the coast of Mexico. However, outer rainbands will produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco for the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system is likely to be slow over the next couple of days while it drifts northward. By late this week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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