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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-07 07:32:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 070532 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to show some signs of organization. Although recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation remains broad, environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next day or so while it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, just offshore of the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, outer rainbands from the disturbance are likely to produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds along the coast of the Mexican states of Colima and Jalisco through Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure area located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system is likely to be slow over the next day or two while it drifts northward. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown [ more ]
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