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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-30 01:26:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 292325 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 29 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to gradually develop off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for additional development after that, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or late portions of this week. The disturbance is forecast to meander near or just offshore the coast for most of the week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico by next weekend. Regardless of development, this system is expected to contribute to additional heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec: Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec during the next couple of days. Gradual development of the disturbance will be possible after that, if the system remains offshore the coast of southern Mexico. The disturbance is forecast to move erratically through mid-week, and then potentially move northward toward the coast later this week. Regardless of formation, heavy rain will be possible along most of the coast of southern Mexico throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Depression Twelve (AT2/AL122024)
2024-09-29 23:00:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...COULD BECOME A FORMIDABLE HURRICANE LATER THIS WEEK... As of 5:00 PM AST Sun Sep 29 the center of Twelve was located near 13.8, -32.5 with movement W at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Twelve Public Advisory Number 1
2024-09-29 23:00:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Sep 29 2024 946 WTNT32 KNHC 292043 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twelve Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 500 PM AST Sun Sep 29 2024 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... ...COULD BECOME A FORMIDABLE HURRICANE LATER THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 32.5W ABOUT 585 MI...945 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 2050 MI...3300 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twelve was located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 32.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h), and a general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected to continue for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next day or so followed by a faster rate of intensification by the middle portion of this week. The depression could become a hurricane by Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics