je.st
news
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-01 00:00:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 302159 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 300 PM PDT Mon Sep 30 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special Outlook issued to increase the probability of tropical cyclone formation for the disturbance near the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to develop off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle or latter portions of this week. The disturbance is forecast to meander near or just offshore the Mexican coast for much of the week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico by this weekend. Regardless of development, this system is expected to contribute to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec (96E): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure near the Gulf of Tehuantepec have quickly become better organized during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression could form as soon as tonight or tomorrow. This system is forecast to meander for the next couple of days before drifting northward towards the southern coast of Mexico, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible along most of the coast of southern Mexico and northern Central America throughout this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category:Transportation and Logistics