je.st
news
Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 13
2024-07-01 22:49:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 01 2024 321 WTNT22 KNHC 012048 TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 2100 UTC MON JUL 01 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 63.2W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 944 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT.......110NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 63.2W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 62.3W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.1N 66.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.4N 69.7W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.3N 73.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.1N 77.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.9N 80.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.3N 84.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N 90.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.0N 94.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 63.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 02/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Hurricane Beryl Graphics
2024-07-01 19:53:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 01 Jul 2024 17:53:26 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 01 Jul 2024 15:23:00 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Beryl Public Advisory Number 12A
2024-07-01 19:53:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 PM AST Mon Jul 01 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 011752 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 200 PM AST Mon Jul 01 2024 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS BERYL ENTERS THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN... ...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND DANGEROUS STORM SURGE CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.8N 62.3W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WNW OF CARRIACOU ISLAND ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NW OF GRENADA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Barbados has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for the island. The government of Trinidad and Tobago has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for Tobago and discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Trinidad. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands * Grenada A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Jamaica A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Martinique * St. Lucia A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * South coast of Dominican Republic from Punta Palenque westward to the border with Haiti * South coast of Haiti from the border with the Dominican Republic to Anse d'Hainault A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles, the Cayman Islands, and the remainder of the northwestern Caribbean should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches or warnings may be required tonight or on Tuesday. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 62.3 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). The center of Beryl will move away from the southern Windward Islands tonight and pass quickly westward to west-northwestward during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move across the southeastern and central Caribbean Sea tonight through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Beryl is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength are likely during the next day or so, but Beryl is expected to remain an extremely dangerous major hurricane as its moves over the eastern Caribbean. Some weakening is expected in the central Caribbean by midweek, though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The Hewanorra International Airport on St. Lucia recently reported sustained winds of 43 mph (69 km/h). The minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is 946 mb (27.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring in the hurricane warning area. Potentially catastrophic wind damage is expected where the core of Beryl is moving through portions of the southern Windward Islands, including Carriacou Island, Grenada, and the Grenadine Islands. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area on Jamaica by Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the tropical storm warning area. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday afternoon for parts of the southern coast of Hispaniola. STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds near where the eye makes landfall in the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands through this afternoon. Localized maxima of 10 inches are possible, especially in the Grenadines, Tobago, and Grenada. This rainfall may cause flash flooding in vulnerable areas. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl will continue across the Windward and southern Leeward Islands during the next couple of days. Swells are also expected to reach the southern coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola late tonight into Tuesday. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics