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Hurricane Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28

2024-07-05 16:49:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 051448 PWSAT2 HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) 2(17) 2(19) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 2(12) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 5(23) 1(24) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 1(12) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18) 1(19) SAN ANTONIO TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) 1(14) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 22(31) 4(35) 1(36) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 27(32) 6(38) 2(40) MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 33(39) 6(45) 2(47) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) 1(16) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 5(33) 1(34) ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 8(38) 1(39) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 35(56) 3(59) 1(60) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 2(23) 1(24) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 4(37) X(37) MCALLEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) MCALLEN TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 36(43) 4(47) X(47) HARLINGEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) HARLINGEN TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 35(47) 3(50) 1(51) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) 1(14) BROWNSVILLE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 46(60) 19(79) X(79) 1(80) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 16(41) 1(42) X(42) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) 1(15) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) 1(13) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) MERIDA MX 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MERIDA MX 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COZUMEL MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 28

2024-07-05 16:48:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 051448 TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 88.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 88.3W AT 05/1500Z...INLAND AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 87.7W...INLAND FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.4N 90.1W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.5N 92.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.6N 94.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.6N 95.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 25.6N 96.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 26.8N 97.5W...NEAR COAST MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 29.0N 98.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 31.0N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 88.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 05/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Tropical Depression Aletta Forecast Advisory Number 5

2024-07-05 16:42:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 051442 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012024 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 109.8W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 109.8W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 109.3W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.5N 111.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.2N 112.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.2N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 109.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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