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Hurricane Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2018-07-07 10:58:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUL 07 2018 ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022018 0900 UTC SAT JUL 07 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) X(16) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) X(24) X(24) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) X(20) X(20) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 8(34) X(34) X(34) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 41(51) X(51) X(51) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) X(16) X(16) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 46(48) 8(56) X(56) X(56) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) X( X) 16(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 53(55) 3(58) X(58) X(58) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARBADOS 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 19(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GRENADA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN NNNN
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