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Hurricane Bud Forecast Advisory Number 14
2018-06-13 04:32:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUN 13 2018 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 130232 TCMEP3 HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032018 0300 UTC WED JUN 13 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SANTA FE TO LA PAZ... MEXICO... INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 108.6W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 108.6W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 108.5W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.3N 108.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.2N 109.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 21.1N 109.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 22.3N 110.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 25.9N 110.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 32.5N 109.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 108.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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