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Hurricane Bud Public Advisory Number 10
2018-06-12 04:41:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 120241 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Hurricane Bud Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032018 900 PM MDT Mon Jun 11 2018 ...BUD A LITTLE STRONGER BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.6N 107.6W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Interests in southern Baja California Sur, Mexico, should monitor the progress of Bud. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Bud was located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 107.6 West. Bud is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a decrease in forward speed is expected tonight and on Tuesday. A slow north-northwestward motion is forecast late Tuesday through Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Bud will approach southern Baja California Sur on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Bud is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir- Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next 12 hours, but weakening is expected to begin on Tuesday and continue through Thursday while Bud approaches southern Baja California Sur. Bud is forecast to weaken below hurricane intensity by Wednesday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches into Tuesday afternoon. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. SURF: Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days and will begin to affect the southern Baja California Peninsula on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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