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Public comments regarding changes to the standard of review

2018-06-18 23:26:01| PortlandOnline

PDF Document, 2,990kbCategory: Citizen Review Committee

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Tropical Depression Carlotta Public Advisory Number 17

2018-06-18 22:34:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 182033 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Carlotta Advisory Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 400 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 ...CARLOTTA NOT LIKELY TO LAST MUCH LONGER... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 103.3W ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 103.3 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. On the forecast track, the center will be near or over the southwest coast of Mexico late tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is expected to become a remnant low tonight and dissipate by Tuesday morning. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima coasts, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible. These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast. SURF: Southwesterly swells are affecting the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Depression Carlotta Public Advisory Number 13

2018-06-17 22:34:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 400 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 172034 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Carlotta Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 400 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018 ...CARLOTTA EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 101.9W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta was located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 101.9 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center will be moving parallel to but just offshore of the coast of Mexico through Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Carlotta is expected to degenerate into a remnant low tonight or early Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero, Michoacan and Colima coasts, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible. These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast. SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Depression Carlotta Public Advisory Number 12A

2018-06-17 20:04:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 171803 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Carlotta Intermediate Advisory Number 12A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 100 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018 ...CARLOTTA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 101.6W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning from Tecpan De Galeana to Lazaro Cardenas. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta was estimated to be near near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 101.6 West. Carlotta is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the small core of Carlotta or its remnant should move inland over southern Mexico on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Carlotta could dissipate later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero and Michoacan coasts, including the city of Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible. These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast. SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Tropical Storm Carlotta Public Advisory Number 12

2018-06-17 16:34:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 171433 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018 ...DISORGANIZED CARLOTTA NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... ...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 101.3W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Tecpan De Galeana to Lazaro Cardenas A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was estimated to be near near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 101.3 West. Carlotta is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue into Monday. On the forecast track, the small core of Carlotta should move inland within the warning area by early Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is likely to become a tropical depression later today, and to degenerate into a remnant low on Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero and Michoaca coasts, including the city of Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible. These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Michoaca, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely to spread westward along the warning area today. SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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