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Hurricane CARLOS Public Advisory Number 15
2015-06-14 10:32:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 140832 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 400 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015 ...SLOW-MOVING CARLOS WEAKENS A LITTLE BUT EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 100.3W ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has extended the Hurricane Warning west of Lazaro Cardenas to Punta San Telmo. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Punta San Telmo to Tecpan de Galeana A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * West of Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Tecpan de Galeana to Punta Maldonado A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible somewhere within the watch area within 48 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southwest coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of Carlos. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Carlos was located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 100.3 West. Carlos is moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A turn toward the northwest and west-northwest with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Restrengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area later today. Hurricane conditions are expected to begin within the hurricane warning area on Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area Monday night or early Tuesday. RAINFALL: Carlos is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to 10 inches across the southwestern coast of Mexico through Tuesday with maximum totals of 15 inches possible. The states of Mexico affected include Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of higher terrain. SURF: Swells associated with Carlos will affect the coasts of southern and southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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