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Hurricane CRISTINA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2014-06-12 10:36:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUN 12 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 120835 PWSEP3 HURRICANE CRISTINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 0900 UTC THU JUN 12 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 5( 5) 58(63) 23(86) 3(89) X(89) X(89) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 1( 1) 24(25) 25(50) 5(55) X(55) X(55) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 19(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 14(21) 5(26) X(26) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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