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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Forecast Advisory Number 16
2014-08-27 16:38:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014 000 WTNT24 KNHC 271438 TCMAT4 HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 1500 UTC WED AUG 27 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 72.2W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 72.2W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 72.1W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 34.0N 70.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.5N 66.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT...200NE 210SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.6N 59.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 90NE 130SE 90SW 40NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.5N 52.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...110NE 140SE 90SW 50NW. 34 KT...210NE 270SE 210SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 50.0N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW. 34 KT...180NE 270SE 240SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 56.0N 29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 72.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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