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Hurricane DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 12
2015-07-14 10:37:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 140837 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 0900 UTC TUE JUL 14 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 107.5W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......130NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 107.5W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.2W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N 108.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 90SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.9N 108.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.4N 109.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.0N 110.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.4N 113.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 21.9N 116.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 107.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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