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Hurricane DOLORES Forecast Advisory Number 21
2015-07-16 16:36:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 16 2015 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 161436 TCMEP5 HURRICANE DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 1500 UTC THU JUL 16 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 111.8W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 210SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 111.8W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.3N 113.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.9N 114.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.3N 116.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.3N 117.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.6N 120.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 30.5N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 111.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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