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Hurricane Dorian Forecast Advisory Number 45
2019-09-04 16:56:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 04 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 041456 TCMAT5 HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 1500 UTC WED SEP 04 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS AND THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS. THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM PORT CANAVERAL...FLORIDA SOUTHWARD. THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO PONTE VEDRA BEACH HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF PORT CANAVERAL FL TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS * NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO POQUOSON VA...INCLUDING HAMPTON ROADS A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SAVANNAH RIVER TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF PONTE VEDRA BEACH FL TO SAVANNAH RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY FL LINE TO SAVANNAH RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT SOUTHWARD A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DORIAN...AS ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE HURRICANE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 79.7W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB EYE DIAMETER 55 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT.......150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 210SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 79.7W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 79.6W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.8N 80.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 31.9N 79.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 33.1N 78.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.8N 76.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 39.9N 68.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...220NE 200SE 180SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 47.5N 59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 55.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 79.7W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 04/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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