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Hurricane Epsilon Forecast Advisory Number 10
2020-10-21 16:47:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED OCT 21 2020 000 WTNT22 KNHC 211447 TCMAT2 HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272020 1500 UTC WED OCT 21 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 59.1W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......380NE 80SE 50SW 300NW. 12 FT SEAS..750NE 390SE 530SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 59.1W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 58.7W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.6N 60.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...300NE 110SE 80SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.9N 60.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...240NE 160SE 100SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 32.3N 61.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...210NE 160SE 100SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 33.7N 61.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 180SE 120SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 35.0N 61.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...270NE 210SE 150SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 36.6N 60.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...270NE 240SE 180SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 42.0N 51.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 49.5N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 59.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BLAKE
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