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Hurricane Florence Forecast Advisory Number 48
2018-09-11 10:54:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 870 WTNT21 KNHC 110853 TCMAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 0900 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM EDISTO BEACH...SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM EDISTO BEACH... SOUTH CAROLINA... NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINIA BORDER * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS...INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINIA BORDER * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 64.1W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 944 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 64.1W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 63.3W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 27.2N 66.4W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.7N 69.4W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.5N 72.2W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 32.2N 74.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 34.3N 77.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 35.2N 78.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 36.0N 79.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 64.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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