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Hurricane Florence Forecast Advisory Number 49
2018-09-11 16:44:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 050 WTNT21 KNHC 111443 TCMAT1 HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018 1500 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINIA BORDER * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS...INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINIA BORDER * ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 65.3W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 65.3W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 64.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 27.7N 67.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 29.4N 70.6W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 31.1N 73.1W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.6N 75.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.2N 77.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 35.0N 78.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 35.5N 79.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N 65.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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