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Hurricane GONZALO Forecast Advisory Number 9
2014-10-14 16:53:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 000 WTNT23 KNHC 141453 TCMAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 1500 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 65.2W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 65.2W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 64.8W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.7N 66.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.3N 67.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.6N 68.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.1N 68.6W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.4N 66.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 37.4N 62.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 46.8N 53.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 65.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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