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Hurricane GONZALO Public Advisory Number 27A
2014-10-19 07:41:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014 000 WTNT33 KNHC 190540 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 200 AM AST SUN OCT 19 2014 ...HURRICANE GONZALO RACING NORTHEASTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR CAPE RACE THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...44.2N 55.0W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 48 MPH...78 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR... * ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.0 WEST. GONZALO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 48 MPH...78 KM/H. A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST BY EARLY MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY WHEN IT MOVES OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC. GONZALO HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM. THE LARGEST EXTENT OF THE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...BERMUDA...AND ATLANTIC CANADA. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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