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Hurricane Helene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2024-09-25 16:57:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 251457 PWSAT4 HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024 1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 11(11) 16(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 57(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 43(43) 8(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 41(41) 16(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 43(43) 7(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 36(36) 6(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 4( 4) 60(64) 2(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) THE VILLAGES 34 X 6( 6) 47(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ORLANDO FL 34 X 5( 5) 21(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 4( 4) 25(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) PATRICK AFB 34 X 4( 4) 26(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 4( 4) 16(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) W PALM BEACH 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MIAMI FL 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MARATHON FL 34 2 15(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) KEY WEST FL 34 11 20(31) 4(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NAPLES FL 34 1 28(29) 16(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) FT MYERS FL 34 X 17(17) 17(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) VENICE FL 34 1 36(37) 31(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) VENICE FL 50 X 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) TAMPA FL 34 X 24(24) 48(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) TAMPA FL 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X 13(13) 72(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) 42(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 3( 3) 86(89) 6(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) 53(53) 22(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) 16(16) 21(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) ST MARKS FL 34 X 4( 4) 88(92) 4(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) 64(64) 13(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) 28(28) 15(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) APALACHICOLA 34 X 11(11) 81(92) 3(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 78(78) 5(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) 56(56) 8(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 20(20) 77(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 2( 2) 86(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) 69(69) 2(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 9( 9) 70(79) 4(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 53(53) 7(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) 24(24) 9(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) 7(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALBANY GA 34 X X( X) 51(51) 39(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) ALBANY GA 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 48(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) ALBANY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 12(12) 66(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) COLUMBUS GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) MACON GA 34 X X( X) 10(10) 60(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) MACON GA 50 X X( X) X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) DOTHAN AL 34 X 1( 1) 48(49) 29(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) DOTHAN AL 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 36(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) DOTHAN AL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 23(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 7(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 12(12) 33(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURAS LA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 890W 34 1 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) COZUMEL MX 34 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) BELIZE CITY 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 30 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) HAVANA 34 13 8(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ISLE OF PINES 34 40 3(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm John Graphics
2024-09-25 16:57:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 25 Sep 2024 14:57:15 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 25 Sep 2024 15:28:45 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Helene Forecast Advisory Number 9
2024-09-25 16:56:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 251456 TCMAT4 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024 1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 86.3W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......210NE 240SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 86.3W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 86.2W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.0N 86.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.7N 85.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...240NE 250SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.7N 84.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.3N 85.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 330SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.6N 86.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.9N 87.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 36.6N 87.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 86.3W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 25/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category: Transportation and Logistics