Home Hurricane Irma Forecast Advisory Number 25
 

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Hurricane Irma Forecast Advisory Number 25

2017-09-05 13:59:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1200 UTC TUE SEP 05 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 051158 TCMAT1 HURRICANE IRMA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 1200 UTC TUE SEP 05 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGAO TO ISLA SAONA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS... AND NEVIS * SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND SINT MAARTEN * SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GUADELOUPE * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GUADELOUPE * DOMINICA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGAO TO ISLA SAONA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. IN THIS CASE...FOR SOME OF EASTERNMOST ISLANDS...THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...ALONG WITH HAITI...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...CUBA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 57.7W AT 05/1200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 929 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 150SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 57.7W AT 05/1200Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 56.4W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.0N 58.9W MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.7N 61.5W MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.6N 64.2W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.6N 67.0W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.2N 72.5W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 100SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.4N 77.2W MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 24.0N 81.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 57.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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