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Hurricane Irma Forecast Advisory Number 38
2017-09-08 16:49:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 081449 TCMAT1 HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 1500 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FROM JUPITER INLET NORTHWARD TO SEBASTIAN INLET AND FROM BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO VENICE. A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO PONCE INLET. THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO VENICE * FLORIDA KEYS A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET TO PONCE INLET A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA BEACH * FLORIDA KEYS * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * FLORIDA BAY * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY... CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS... AND VILLA CLARA * CENTRAL BAHAMAS * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE * NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO ANCLOTE RIVER * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... LAS TUNAS AND MATANZAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... HOLGUIN... AND LAS TUNAS A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA... FLORIDA... AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 75.3W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 927 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 45SE 35SW 55NW. 50 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 120SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 270SE 120SW 480NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 75.3W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 74.7W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.4N 77.1W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 120SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.8N 79.0W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 130SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.7N 80.3W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N 81.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 190NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.3N 82.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...250NE 210SE 160SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 34.0N 85.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 75.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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