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Hurricane Irma Forecast Advisory Number 44
2017-09-10 04:56:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 100256 TCMAT1 HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 0300 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED NORTH OF NORTH MIAMI BEACH TO JUPITER INLET. THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE SUWANEE RIVER * FLORIDA KEYS * TAMPA BAY A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FERNANDINA BEACH SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO INDIAN PASS * FLORIDA KEYS * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * FLORIDA BAY * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA... SANCTI SPIRITUS... VILLA CLARA... MATANZAS... AND LA HABANA * ANDROS ISLAND... BIMINI... AND GRAND BAHAMA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO EDISTO BEACH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE * NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 81.0W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 933 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......170NE 170SE 120SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 120SE 0SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 81.0W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 80.9W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 24.7N 81.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...220NE 200SE 130SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.8N 82.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...300NE 230SE 160SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.5N 83.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 40SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...320NE 240SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 32.2N 85.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT...230NE 150SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 35.3N 89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 37.0N 88.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 81.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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