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Hurricane Irma Forecast Advisory Number 46
2017-09-10 16:48:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 000 WTNT21 KNHC 101448 TCMAT1 HURRICANE IRMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112017 1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET * NORTH MIAMI BEACH SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER * FLORIDA KEYS * TAMPA BAY A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FERNANDINA BEACH SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO INDIAN PASS * FLORIDA KEYS * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * FLORIDA BAY * CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS AND LA HABANA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO EDISTO BEACH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE * NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 81.5W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 933 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT.......190NE 170SE 140SW 190NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 81.5W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 81.5W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 26.6N 82.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...220NE 200SE 140SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 29.2N 83.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT...110NE 120SE 90SW 100NW. 34 KT...270NE 200SE 160SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 31.9N 84.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.8N 86.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 89.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 38.5N 86.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 81.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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