Home Hurricane JOAQUIN Forecast Advisory Number 16
 

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Hurricane JOAQUIN Forecast Advisory Number 16

2015-10-01 22:45:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2015 000 WTNT21 KNHC 012044 TCMAT1 HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015 2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2015 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS... ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE * THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...AND MAYAGUANA IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BIMINI * ANDROS ISLAND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS * ANDROS ISLAND A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 74.4W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 936 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 150SE 100SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 150SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 74.4W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 74.2W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.2N 74.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.4N 74.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.9N 74.1W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.4N 73.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 190SE 120SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 33.0N 72.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...230NE 190SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 37.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 41.0N 69.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 74.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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