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Hurricane Jose Forecast Advisory Number 10
2017-09-07 22:31:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 072031 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANGUILLA... MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN ST. MARTIN AND SINT MAARTEN BEGINNING ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 52.4W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..195NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 52.4W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 51.6W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.0N 54.8W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.6N 57.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.3N 59.8W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 15SE 15SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.4N 61.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.9N 65.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 25.5N 67.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 27.3N 67.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 52.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LAMERS/CARBIN
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