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Hurricane Jose Forecast Advisory Number 11
2017-09-08 04:48:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 080248 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 0300 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... AND ANGUILLA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... AND ANGUILLA * SINT MAARTEN * ST. MARTIN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA... BARBUDA... AND ANGUILLA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 53.9W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 90SW 135NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 53.9W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 53.2W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.1N 56.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 10SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.8N 58.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 10SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.8N 60.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 10SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.2N 62.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.6N 66.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 25.8N 68.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 27.1N 67.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 53.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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