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Hurricane Jose Forecast Advisory Number 50
2017-09-17 22:38:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 172038 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FENWICK ISLAND... DELAWARE...TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH...AND FROM EAST ROCKAWAY INLET...NEW YORK...TO PLYMOUTH... MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND... MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FENWICK ISLAND TO SANDY HOOK * DELAWARE BAY SOUTH * EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO PLYMOUTH * BLOCK ISLAND * MARTHA'S VINEYARD * NANTUCKET INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 71.8W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT.......170NE 180SE 100SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 190SW 275NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 71.8W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 71.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 32.7N 71.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 190SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 34.3N 71.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 35.9N 71.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...220NE 200SE 160SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.7N 71.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...220NE 200SE 150SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 40.1N 69.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 39.7N 67.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 38.5N 67.0W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 71.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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