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Hurricane Jose Forecast Advisory Number 9
2017-09-07 16:49:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 000 WTNT22 KNHC 071449 TCMAT2 HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017 1500 UTC THU SEP 07 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA. THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ANGUILLA... MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANGUILLA... MONTSERRAT... ST KITTS... AND NEVIS * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 50.6W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 80SW 110NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 50.6W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 49.8W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.4N 53.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.0N 56.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.6N 58.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.5N 60.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.3N 64.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 24.0N 67.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 27.0N 68.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 50.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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