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Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 9
2024-10-01 22:54:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 012054 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 40.1W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......170NE 170SE 70SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 90SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 40.1W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 39.7W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.1N 41.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 180SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.3N 43.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.4N 44.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.4N 46.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 35SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.5N 47.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.9N 49.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 27.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 33.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...120NE 115SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 160NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 40.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER MORA/PAPIN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Graphics
2024-10-01 22:54:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 20:54:08 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 20:54:08 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2024-10-01 22:54:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 012053 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112024 2100 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ANGEL 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 95W 34 17 9(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SALINA CRUZ 34 1 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category: Transportation and Logistics