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Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 13
2024-10-05 16:50:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 05 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 051450 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 05 2024 ...LESLIE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.1N 35.4W ABOUT 785 MI...1260 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 11.1 North, longitude 35.4 West. Leslie is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is forecast to begin by tonight and continue through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible through tonight. A gradual weakening trend is forecast to begin on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 13
2024-10-05 16:49:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 051449 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 1500 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 35.4W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..105NE 60SE 75SW 105NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 35.4W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 35.2W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.7N 36.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.7N 37.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.8N 38.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.0N 40.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.4N 42.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.8N 44.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.4N 47.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.4N 50.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 35.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-05 13:32:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051132 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Oct 5 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: A trough of low pressure offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing limited shower activity. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Category: Transportation and Logistics