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Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 62A

2018-10-12 01:48:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM AST Thu Oct 11 2018 000 WTNT33 KNHC 112348 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 62A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 800 PM AST Thu Oct 11 2018 ...LESLIE MOVING QUICKLY EAST-NORTHEAST WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 35.3W ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM SW OF THE AZORES ABOUT 1080 MI...1735 KM WSW OF MADEIRA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Madeira Island A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 35.3 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h). A continued east-northeast motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through Friday. Leslie is forecast to slow down and turn toward the east or east-southeast by Saturday. On the forecast track, Leslie will pass near Madeira Island by late Saturday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible tonight and early Friday, but steady weakening is forecast to begin by Friday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Madeira Island beginning Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday and could reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake

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Tropical Storm Sergio Graphics

2018-10-12 01:34:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 11 Oct 2018 23:34:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 11 Oct 2018 21:40:17 GMT

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Tropical Storm Sergio Public Advisory Number 50A

2018-10-12 01:33:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 500 PM PDT Thu Oct 11 2018 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 112333 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Sergio Intermediate Advisory Number 50A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP212018 500 PM PDT Thu Oct 11 2018 ...SERGIO APPROACHING THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 116.0W ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lazaro * East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in the northern and central Baja California peninsula and northwestern Sonora should monitor the progress of Sergio. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM PDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sergio was located near latitude 24.1 North, longitude 116.0 West. Sergio is moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this track is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Sergio will be near the Pacific coast of Baja California Sur tonight or early Friday and then move over mainland Mexico by Friday evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening should begin overnight, but Sergio is still forecast to reach the central Baja California peninsula as a tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Sergio is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches across the central peninsula of Baja California and Sonora through Friday. This could lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides within mountainous terrain. By this weekend, rainfall associated with Sergio will move into portions of the Southern Plains and the Ozarks, with storm total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches and possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches. This rainfall could lead to flash flooding, particularly in the Southern Plains. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area along the western coast of the Baja California peninsula by tonight and these conditions will spread to the east coast of the peninsula tonight or early Friday. These conditions could reach the coast of mainland Mexico late Friday. SURF: Swells generated by Sergio will begin to affect much of the Baja California Peninsula later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Blake

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