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Hurricane MANUEL Forecast Advisory Number 19
2013-09-19 04:53:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 19 2013 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 190253 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132013 0300 UTC THU SEP 19 2013 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO...AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM MAZATLAN TO LA CRUZ...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 108.0W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 108.0W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 24.8N 108.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 25.1N 108.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.5N 108.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.5N 108.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 25.5N 108.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 108.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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