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Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory Number 16
2017-09-20 04:43:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 20 2017 000 WTNT25 KNHC 200243 TCMAT5 HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 0300 UTC WED SEP 20 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * PUERTO RICO... CULEBRA... AND VIEQUES * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUERTO PLATA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ST. MAARTEN * GUADELOUPE * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ST. MAARTEN * ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 64.7W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 909 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 150SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 64.7W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 64.3W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.0N 65.8W MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.9N 67.3W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.9N 68.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 45NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.9N 69.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.3N 71.4W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 26.2N 72.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 29.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 64.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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