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Hurricane Marie Forecast Advisory Number 14
2020-10-02 16:47:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 021447 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182020 1500 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 124.3W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 948 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 110SE 70SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 210SW 225NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 124.3W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 123.8W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.2N 125.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.3N 127.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 128.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 129.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.6N 130.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.0N 132.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 22.0N 135.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.5N 137.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 124.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/REINHART
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