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Hurricane NEWTON Public Advisory Number 6
2016-09-06 04:54:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 900 PM MDT MON SEP 05 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 060254 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NEWTON ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 900 PM MDT MON SEP 05 2016 ...NEWTON CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AS IT APPROACHES BAJA CALIFORNIA... ...NEW WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.3N 109.0W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM SSE OF LA PAZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has made several changes to warnings and watches with this advisory. The Hurricane Warning along the east coast of the Baja California peninsula has been extended northward to Mulege. A Hurricane Watch has been issued along the coast of mainland Mexico from Guaymas to Puerto Libertad. The Tropical Storm Watch from Mazatlan to south of Bahia Tempehuaya has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm Warning. The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo San Lazaro to Mulege, including Cabo San Lucas A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos * North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista * Mazatlan to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Guaymas to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 109.0 West. Newton is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through early Tuesday. A turn toward the north-northwest, and then to the north, are expected late Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, Newton should be near or over the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula early Tuesday morning, move over portions of the southern Baja California peninsula Tuesday, and move into northwestern Mexico on early Wednesday morning. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast tonight, before the hurricane reaches the southern Baja California peninsula. Gradual weakening is expected after Newton makes landfall. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: For the Baja California peninsula, winds are expected to reach tropical storm strength within the next few hours, with hurricane conditions expected by early Tuesday morning. These conditions will spread northward over the Baja California peninsula through Tuesday. Preparations to protect life and property should be near completion. For the Mexican mainland, tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico within the warning area beginning Tuesday morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward throughout the day. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area early Wednesday. RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches for coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa and Sonora as well as much of the state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches through Tuesday night. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected across portions of southern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico from late Wednesday into Thursday, with localized amounts of up to 3 inches possible. These rains could result in dangerous flash flooding. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall on both the southern Baja California peninsula and mainland Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico through Tuesday, and begin to subside on Wednesday. Swells should increase across the southern and central portions of the Baja California peninsula today and Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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