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Hurricane NEWTON Public Advisory Number 7A
2016-09-06 13:43:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 061143 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 600 AM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 ...EYE OF NEWTON OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...NEWTON POUNDING BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITH HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS... SUMMARY OF 600 AM MDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.5N 110.4W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SSE OF LORETO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo San Lazaro to Mulege, including Cabo San Lucas * Guaymas to Bahia Kino A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos * North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista * Mazatlan to Guaymas * Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 AM MDT (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Newton was located near latitude 23.5 North, longitude 110.4 West. Newton is moving toward the north-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward north is expected by tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Newton will continue to pass over Baja California Sur early today and emerge in the Gulf of California this afternoon. The center of Newton is forecast to reach northwestern Mexico early Wednesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next 24 hours. However, Newton is still expected to be a hurricane when it makes a second landfall along the northwestern coast of mainland Mexico early Wednesday morning. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). A Mexican automated station located at San Lucas reported maximum sustained winds of 78 mph (125 km/h) with gusts to 116 mph (187 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). A Storm Chaser in downtown Cabo San Lucas reported a pressure of 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are occurring over much of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. These hazardous wind conditions will spread northward through this morning within the warning areas. Preparations to protect life and property should have been completed. For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area by early Wednesday morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico within the warning area beginning this morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward throughout the day and into tonight. RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 5 to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Sonora, western Nayarit, and Jalisco, and a small part of Baja California Norte through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico through Thursday. In all of these locations, heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall on both the southern Baja California peninsula and mainland Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico through today, but begin to subside on Wednesday. Large swells are occurring along the coast of Baja California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of California today and Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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