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Hurricane NEWTON Public Advisory Number 8A
2016-09-06 19:56:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 PM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 061755 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 1200 PM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 ...NEWTON SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD THROUGH BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.7N 111.4W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF LORETO MEXICO ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM WNW OF LA PAZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for the southern portion of Baja California Sur from Todos Santos to Los Barriles, including Cabo San Lucas, and has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning from Mazatlan to Bahia Tempehuaya. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo San Lazaro to north of Todos Santos * North of Los Barriles to Mulege * Guaymas to Bahia Kino A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos * North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista * North of Bahia Tempehuaya to Guaymas * Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located near latitude 24.7 North, longitude 111.4 West. Newton is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the north is expected by tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Newton will pass over Baja California Sur today, and emerge over the Gulf of California late this afternoon or evening. The center of Newton should reach the coast of northwestern Mexico early Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to have decreased near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next 24 hours, and rapid weakening should occur once Newton moves well inland over northwestern Mexico on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: For the Baja California peninsula, tropical storm and hurricane conditions continue to occur over much of the warned area of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. These hazardous wind conditions will spread northward during the remainder of this afternoon and evening within the warning areas. Preparations to protect life and property should have been completed. For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by early Wednesday morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected over northwestern Mexico within the warning area beginning this morning, and these conditions will gradually spread northward throughout the day and into tonight. RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 5 to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Sonora, western Nayarit, and Jalisco, and a small part of Baja California Norte through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico through Thursday. In all of these locations, heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in mountainous terrain. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the center on the southern Baja California peninsula and mainland Mexico. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico through today, but begin to subside on Wednesday. Large swells are occurring along the coast of Baja California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of California today and Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain
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