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Hurricane NEWTON Public Advisory Number 9A
2016-09-07 01:37:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 PM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 062336 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 600 PM MDT TUE SEP 06 2016 ...CENTER OF NEWTON MOVING NEAR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... ...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.3N 111.7W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSE OF MULEGE MEXICO ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSW OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo San Lazaro to Santa Fe * La Paz to Mulege * Guaymas to Puerto Libertad A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Cabo San Lazaro to Punta Abreojos * North of Mulege to Bahia San Juan Bautista * Altata to Guaymas A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. In the southwestern United States, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office for information on possible heavy rains, flooding, and high winds. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located near latitude 26.3 North, longitude 111.7 West. Newton is moving toward the north-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected tonight, and this motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Newton will emerge over the Gulf of California within the next few hours. The center of Newton should reach the coast of northwestern Mexico in the hurricane warning area early Wednesday, move inland over northwestern Mexico, and then move into southeastern Arizona by Wednesday afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall in northwestern Mexico, followed by rapid weakening thereafter. Newton is expected to weaken to a tropical storm on Wednesday and dissipate by Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). An automated station in Loreto, Mexico, recently reported a sustained wind of 48 mph (77 km/h) and a wind gust of 89 mph (144 km/h). A wind gust of 40 mph (65 km/h) was recently reported at the Los Mochis airport in the state of Sinaloa. The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: For the Baja California peninsula, tropical storm and hurricane conditions continue to occur over much of the warned area of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula. These hazardous wind conditions will spread northward during the remainder of today within the warning areas. For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area by early Wednesday morning, and preparations to protect life and property should have been completed. Tropical storm conditions are beginning over northwestern Mexico within the warning area, and these conditions will gradually spread northward tonight. Tropical storm conditions could spread into portions of southeastern Arizona by Wednesday afternoon. RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 5 to 10 inches over the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Sonora, western Nayarit, and Jalisco through Wednesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona to southwestern and south-central New Mexico through Thursday. In all of these locations, heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in mountainous terrain. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the track of the center within the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Elsewhere, elevated water levels are expected in areas of onshore wind. SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico through tonight, but will begin to subside on Wednesday. Large swells are occurring along the coast of Baja California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of California tonight and Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
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