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Hurricane OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 15
2015-10-18 16:34:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 181434 TCMEP4 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 1500 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 133.2W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 120SE 90SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.5N 133.2W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 132.6W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 9.7N 134.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 10.2N 136.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 10.8N 138.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.6N 139.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.5N 142.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 15.5N 143.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 17.8N 144.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.5N 133.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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