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Hurricane OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 19
2015-10-19 16:46:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON OCT 19 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 191446 TCMEP4 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 1500 UTC MON OCT 19 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 137.7W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 137.7W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 137.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 10.2N 139.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 10.8N 140.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 11.4N 142.4W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.2N 144.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.0N 146.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 16.7N 146.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 19.5N 147.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.9N 137.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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