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Hurricane OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 21
2015-10-20 04:50:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 200250 TCMEP4 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 139.5W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 60SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 210SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 139.5W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 139.1W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 10.4N 140.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 11.1N 142.4W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.0N 143.8W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.0N 145.0W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.4N 146.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 18.3N 146.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 20.9N 146.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.1N 139.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON OLAF. FUTURE INFORMATION ON OLAF CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 0900Z UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP5 AND WMO HEADER WTPA25 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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